The current Republican and Democrat Party Platforms really indicate four distinct parties. The first set of parties are the ‘Moderates.’ These include the moderate Republican and moderate Democrats operating under the Bush and Clinton dynasty, respectively. The base of each party right now, the Trump and Bernie Sanders base represent the other half of reach respective Party.
While this is not news to anybody, the Republican party is in a significantly better position going into 2024 and beyond, because it does not have a current identity politics as entrenched within their base as the Democratic Party establishment does. In the Democratic Party, identity politics is the dominant force in policymaking.
There is both a challenge and a benefit to the Republican Party’s current political alignment. On one hand, the benefit is that the Republican party is in better position to attract moderate Democrat voters than Democrats can attract moderate Republicans. Moderate Republicans have virtually no support of a radical and extremist Democratic base that not only wants to create a system of government based on identity politics, but also wants to also bring hard socialism to the United States.
The Republican Party must prevent its base from integrating its own form of identity politics, a new form of Identity Politics associated with a ‘white utopia’ and one that seeks National Socialism ala Nazi Germany.
In order to attract moderate Democrats, and ensure that the Republican Party Base does not fall into the hands of a ‘white identity’ movement the most important component of future Republican success in 2024 and 2028 is to create an economic framework that attracts Black Americans. The seeds of this framework, though obliterated by the pandemic could be found in policies such as Opportunities Zones and Equity Crowdfunding.
At the local level, these two policies have attracted moderate Democrats in droves. Many moderate Democrats leading local economic development organizations and community organizations, as well as minority led community centers and business incubators, have gravitated toward the idea of Opportunities Zones as a way to solve historic poverty within the most impoverished zip codes in the United States.
In addition to preventing identity politics from entering the Republican base, the Republican Party must finally give up the Bush family as its political dynasty. The Bush dynasty has served the Republican party in a great and extensive manner. However, their authority has come to an end as they do not have an heir to the dynasty. This a major sticking point at the local level of Republican Party politics. We saw this play out in the 2016 presidential campaign, but that was only a symptom of the extensive loyalties maintained at the local levels by Bush era Republicans.
If the Republican party can whether these two storms, the first storm of identity politics coming for the Republican party base, and the second storm being a power vacuum left by the Bush Dynasty, then the Republican party platform is currently in the perfect position to dominate electoral politics at all levels by attracting Moderate Democrats to sensible economic policy.
The next decade could see an extensive political realignment, one of the greatest in modern American politics. If moderate Democrats leave the Democratic Party, because of its stance on combining identity politics with economics, there would be two important implications. First, not only would a moderate Dem exodus nullify the Presidency of Barack Hussein Obama, but it would entirely discredit his use of identity politics in America political warfare.
The second implication is the Democratic Party, in its current shape and form, could be shattered entirely. If it recovered, it would certainly not be a Democratic Party based on either socialism or identity politics. When Bush-era Republicans are evaluating candidates and the party’s platform in the near future, they should think very hard about the possibilities.